BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Elizabeth City St

Class: 2 Class Rank: 105 Overall: (4-6) Overall Strength =   95.61
Conference: Central Intercollegiate Athletic Association Record: (4-4) | District: 2-01 Record: (4-5)
                                                                                         pre-game current
 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict Predict
 1 08/30/2025 Away    L   *  72.04  14  28    2 140 ( 4- 7) Chowan                -23.58     -4.24    9.58                      
 2 09/06/2025 Away    L      96.58  20  27   1B 122 ( 2-10) Hampton                 0.96    -21.49   -7.96                      
 3 09/13/2025 Home    L * * 108.23  17  21    2  42 (10- 2) Johnson C. Smith       12.62    -16.88  -16.62                      
 4 09/20/2025 Neutral L * *  67.12   8  51    2  41 ( 6- 4) Fayetteville St       -28.49      0.17  -14.51                      
 5 10/04/2025 Home    W * * 100.92  39  27    2 117 ( 5- 5) Livingstone             5.30     -8.36    6.70                      
 6 10/11/2025 Home    L * *  92.37  18  37    2  52 ( 9- 3) Virginia Union         -3.25    -22.76  -15.75                      
 7 10/18/2025 Away    L * *  96.59  20  24    2  89 ( 6- 4) Virginia St             0.98    -14.29   -4.98                      
 8 10/25/2025 Away    W * * 120.42  62  14    2 158 ( 0-10) Lincoln PA             24.81     24.41   23.19                      
 9 11/01/2025 Away    W * *  93.98  28  27    2 121 ( 3- 7) Bowie St               -1.64      1.73    2.64                      
10 11/08/2025 Home    W * * 107.90  70  30    2 155 ( 3- 7) Bluefield St WV        12.28     19.49   27.72                      
      Averages              95.61  29.6 28.6

Best game:  120.42 = 48 point win over Lincoln PA
Worst game:  67.12 = 43 point loss to Fayetteville St
Team stdev:  16.11