BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

Elizabeth City St

Class: 2 Class Rank: 105 Overall: (4-6) Overall Strength =   94.70
Conference: Central Intercollegiate Athletic Association Record: (4-4) | District: 2-01 Record: (4-5)
                                                                                         pre-game current
 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict Predict
 1 08/30/2025 Away    L   *  71.15  14  28    2 141 ( 4- 7) Chowan                -23.55     -4.24    9.55                      
 2 09/06/2025 Away    L      96.05  20  27   1B 121 ( 2-10) Hampton                 1.35    -21.49   -8.35                      
 3 09/13/2025 Home    L * * 107.21  17  21    2  44 (10- 2) Johnson C. Smith       12.51    -16.88  -16.51                      
 4 09/20/2025 Neutral L * *  66.20   8  51    2  42 ( 6- 4) Fayetteville St       -28.49      0.17  -14.51                      
 5 10/04/2025 Home    W * *  99.95  39  27    2 117 ( 5- 5) Livingstone             5.25     -8.35    6.75                      
 6 10/11/2025 Home    L * *  91.33  18  37    2  49 ( 9- 3) Virginia Union         -3.37    -22.75  -15.63                      
 7 10/18/2025 Away    L * *  95.67  20  24    2  92 ( 6- 4) Virginia St             0.98    -14.33   -4.98                      
 8 10/25/2025 Away    W * * 119.58  62  14    2 158 ( 0-10) Lincoln PA             24.88     24.40   23.12                      
 9 11/01/2025 Away    W * *  92.96  28  27    2 122 ( 3- 7) Bowie St               -1.73      1.71    2.73                      
10 11/08/2025 Home    W * * 106.85  70  30    2 155 ( 3- 7) Bluefield St WV        12.16     19.53   27.84                      
      Averages              94.70  29.6 28.6

Best game:  119.58 = 48 point win over Lincoln PA
Worst game:  66.20 = 43 point loss to Fayetteville St
Team stdev:  16.11